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Ivory Coast is facing a period of heightened political uncertainty, fueled by unconfirmed reports of a coup attempt and growing tensions surrounding the upcoming presidential election in October 2025. Rumors circulating on social media, particularly X, have alleged significant violence, internet disruptions, and even the potential disappearance or death of President Alassane Ouattara. These reports, which remain unverified by official sources, have sparked considerable anxiety both within the country and internationally.
While major news outlets have not confirmed the coup reports, the situation is undoubtedly tense. Some reports indicate that at least 33 deaths have occurred in the capital, Abidjan, over the past 48 hours amid increasing unrest. Allegations of human rights abuses, rising poverty, and continued French influence have fueled public discontent. Protesters have accused the Ouattara administration of being a puppet of foreign powers, particularly France and the U.S., with growing criticism aimed at the recent expansion of AFRICOM presence in the region.
Adding to the political turmoil is the controversy surrounding opposition leader Tidjane Thiam. A court ruling in April 2025 deemed Thiam ineligible to run for president due to his previous dual French-Ivorian citizenship. This decision has been met with strong opposition, with Thiam vowing to fight the ruling and his party challenging the electoral commission's independence. Analysts warn that barring high-profile candidates like Thiam risks deepening public disillusionment, particularly among younger Ivorians, in a region where anti-establishment sentiment has fueled coups in neighboring countries like Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger.
Despite the political instability, Ivory Coast's economy has shown resilience, with an average GDP growth of 6.4% in recent years. The country is considered a regional economic powerhouse and a key hub in West Africa. However, this economic progress may be overshadowed by the current political crisis, potentially impacting investor confidence and regional stability. The coming months will be crucial in determining whether Ivory Coast can navigate these challenges and maintain its position as a leading force in the region.
